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Hurricane center forecasts tropical depression to form this week

The tropical outlook as of 8 p.m. Monday, Oct. 16, 2023. (NHC)
The tropical outlook as of 8 p.m. Monday, Oct. 16, 2023. (NHC)
Richard Tribou, Orlando Sentinel staff portrait in Orlando, Fla., Tuesday, July 19, 2022. (Willie J. Allen Jr./Orlando Sentinel)
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A Caribbean-bound system has lost some organization but is still forecast to become the season’s next tropical depression or storm later this week, according to the National Hurricane Center.

The broad area of low pressure located in the central tropical Atlantic about halfway between the Caribbean’s Windward Islands and the western coast of Africa has a wide swath of shower and thunderstorm activity.

“Satellite data indicate that the low-level circulation continues to become better defined and, since environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for further development, a tropical depression is likely to form within a few days,” forecasters said. “This system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward across the central and western tropical Atlantic during the next several days.”

The NHC gives it a 40% chance to develop in the next two days and 80% chance in the next seven.

If it were to gain named-storm strength, it would become Tropical Storm Tammy.

The remnants of what had been Tropical Storm Sean last week fell apart late Sunday in the central Atlantic.